Sunday, June 12, 2011

What to do with all the little Boys

For over 30 years the Chinese governement has been demanding that the vast majority of it's citizens adhere to a policy of no more than on child.  Is anyone besides me concerned about all the little boys? 

The Brookings Institute estimates that there are almost 30 million more boys than girls in mainland China.  This means that for  every 100 baby girls born, 120 baby boys arrive on the scene.  It is further reported by the Chinese controlled media that by 2020 there will be over 37 million chinese men unable to find wives. The media and news reports make a big issue over the demographic impact of this reality as it relates to caring for the elderly and producing the revenue required to care for an aging population.  Where are the articles detailing what an autocratic regime that has been willing to crush decent, and murder millions of babies over the last 30 years might choose to do with so many unattached, strong, verile males?  Is it any wonder that a government that snubs it's nose at our concerns for civil liberties would desire to keep a lid on the growth of it's military?  

We are a nation that is in debt to the Chinese government beyond all other governments, aside from our own.  (Figure that one out.)  As China starts to call us out on our trek toward default, will they soon begin to exact a self-determined "collateral" by tapping into the resources of our staunchest allies or even nominal friends?  Does it makes sense to anyone that the Chinese government has every reason in the world to create war, not for some military industrial complex or even for what it might gain, but for the simple logic that they have more men than women?  Think of it this way, even they lose a battle they initiate, say,  for land or conquest, demographically they still WIN.  It answers the question:  "What to do with all the little Boys."  What exactly is to stop a nation that unconcerned with any "right" not affirmed by "the state".  What's to lose by pursuing, maybe Taiwan or South Korea?  Why not take that leap toward establishing a stronger presence in Africa? Maybe a hostile takeover to acquire natural resources that will be necessary for 21st century survival?  They have a demonstrable intrest in Africa, which offers a continent of nation-states that, at least hypothetically, offer little resistance to an Army with the size, scale and sophistication of mainland China.  Some time ago the US was the only nation that had both the moral authority and the military prowess to defend agains such an attack.  Today?  Certainly our moral authority can be called to task simply by virtue of our massive debt to the Chinese government, and while our military prowess remains strong - how long can that strength remain if the Chinese refuse to finance it? 

They have the human resources to spare and,  from a purely utilitarian perspective, the need to winnow their XY chromosone resources.  We have a diminished moral authority and will lack the resources to defend whatever agressive action they may chose to initiate.  Is it just me or is some Chinese offensive military action inevitable?   

 

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